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Democrats projected to capture House majority

CNN, NBC News and CBS News projected Democrats to win control of the U.S. House after the Nov. 3 midterms; results are not certified.

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LOS ANGELES, Nov. 3 (Infinite Headlines) — Democrats are projected to win control of the U.S. House of Representatives in the Nov. 3 midterm elections, according to calls by CNN’s Decision Desk, NBC News and CBS News.

NBC News on Nov. 4 estimated that Democrats would win about 244 seats, a figure subject to change. The majority threshold is 218 seats, NBC News said. The projections are not certified election results.

CBS News made its call at 10:16 p.m. EST on Nov. 3, projecting that Democrats would win enough seats to retake the chamber early next year. Decision Desk HQ also projected a Democratic majority, The Hill reported.

All 435 House seats and 35 Senate seats were contested on Nov. 3, Reuters reported. NBC News had not projected which party would control the Senate as of Nov. 4.

Democrats are due to take control of the House on Jan. 3, 2027, NBC News reported. The projections put Hakeem Jeffries, the Democratic leader and a U.S. representative from New York, on a path to become the first Black speaker, according to CNN. The speakership has not been decided.

A Democratic majority would also take control of House committees, giving the party subpoena power and the ability to investigate President Donald Trump’s administration, his family and his business ventures, NBC News reported.

Before voting, Decision Desk HQ’s Oct. 12 forecast gave Democrats better than a three-in-four chance of winning a majority. Across 1 million simulations, its model averaged 235 Democratic seats and 200 Republican seats. Those figures were forecasts, not seats won.

Other pre-election assessments also favored Democrats. “Our final ratings of the 2026 midterm show Democrats favored to easily win the House of Representatives,” Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball said, as quoted by Political Wire. Fox News analysis forecast 219 Democratic-favored seats, The Independent reported.

A Pew Research Center survey conducted Sept. 28–Oct. 4 among 5,062 U.S. adults found that 55% expected Democrats to win the House, while 40% expected Republicans to retain it. The survey measured expectations, not votes.

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Judy Banks

Judy Banks is a senior national election reporter for Times Media Service, based in the Houston bureau. Banks covers elections and politics across the United States, following campaigns, candidates, election developments, political disputes and national policy debates. Banks holds a master's degree in journalism and grew up in New Brunswick, New Jersey.

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